Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.031855 2.319478 2.635486 3.008797 3.438233 3.917317 4.493105
2025-09-28 1.571238 1.936188 2.370330 2.926231 3.621182 4.463929 5.567476
2025-10-05 1.359984 1.788086 2.332985 3.080642 4.084989 5.394700 7.243942
2025-10-12 1.205651 1.676623 2.312335 3.238952 4.565013 6.409191 9.194320
2025-10-19 1.061956 1.550866 2.245579 3.313562 4.930027 7.310708 11.129815
2025-10-26 0.944626 1.440959 2.179315 3.369954 5.265534 8.206280 13.191123
2025-11-02 0.817292 1.295567 2.036497 3.283115 5.359444 8.734342 14.746669
2025-11-09 0.696978 1.143346 1.860346 3.113547 5.287452 8.973182 15.842885
2025-11-16 0.623756 1.057024 1.777354 3.082998 5.437838 9.595636 17.691332
2025-11-23 0.557035 0.972642 1.685913 3.023067 5.523693 10.109288 19.411400
2025-11-30 0.531906 0.956978 1.710078 3.170542 6.003413 11.401298 22.817142
2025-12-07 0.499327 0.923597 1.697787 3.247235 6.357025 12.499316 26.009165
2025-12-14 0.456181 0.866973 1.638564 3.231439 6.537852 13.304960 28.781069
2025-12-21 0.405573 0.790300 1.532495 3.109350 6.486560 13.631679 30.580147
2025-12-28 0.390208 0.780927 1.556530 3.255970 7.020434 15.275364 35.647574
2026-01-04 0.376886 0.773979 1.584350 3.413977 7.602106 17.113530 41.517854
2026-01-11 0.356631 0.750165 1.574239 3.487626 8.004359 18.605557 46.823658
2026-01-18 0.336778 0.724841 1.557760 3.544387 8.375090 20.079835 52.365332
2026-01-25 0.307049 0.674553 1.480973 3.451416 8.372390 20.643555 55.602485
2026-02-01 0.274181 0.613654 1.373669 3.272007 8.129811 20.566253 57.062281
2026-02-08 0.254884 0.581719 1.329049 3.239467 8.255650 21.460360 61.451608
2026-02-15 0.235404 0.547290 1.274849 3.176150 8.292321 22.123413 65.296064
2026-02-22 0.230944 0.548118 1.304745 3.331415 8.937223 24.553025 74.988918